{"id":45358,"date":"2026-01-15T08:51:02","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T07:51:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.italpassion.fr\/?p=45358"},"modified":"2026-01-14T18:13:05","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T17:13:05","slug":"a-stellantis-podera-anunciar-um-prejuizo-de-cerca-de-86-mil-milhoes-de-euros-devido-aos-seus-automoveis-electricos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.italpassion.fr\/pt\/stellantis\/stellantis-pourrait-annoncer-une-perte-denviron-86-milliards-deuros-a-cause-de-ses-voitures-electriques\/","title":{"rendered":"A Stellantis poder\u00e1 anunciar um preju\u00edzo de cerca de 8,6 mil milh\u00f5es de euros devido aos seus autom\u00f3veis el\u00e9ctricos"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

O ano de 2025 ser\u00e1, sem d\u00favida, recordado como o ano da grande limpeza em Stellantis<\/a>. Em apenas seis meses, o grupo autom\u00f3vel tomou uma decis\u00e3o atr\u00e1s da outra com consequ\u00eancias profundas: fal\u00eancia da sua empresa comum na China<\/a>, f\u00e1bricas suspensas em It\u00e1lia<\/a>em Fran\u00e7a ou Pol\u00f3nia<\/a>determinados programas el\u00e9ctricos param, retirada gradual dos modelos h\u00edbridos plug-in<\/a> e 100 % el\u00e9ctricos na Am\u00e9rica do Norte, continuando ao mesmo tempo a desenvolver investimento maci\u00e7o na Am\u00e9rica do Norte<\/a>, na Am\u00e9rica Latina<\/a>mas tamb\u00e9m em Espanha<\/a> e no Norte de \u00c1frica. Um vasto reequil\u00edbrio industrial, levado a cabo a uma velocidade vertiginosa desde a chegada de Antonio Filosa \u00e0 dire\u00e7\u00e3o do grupo. Mas esta reorganiza\u00e7\u00e3o tem um custo. E pode ser consider\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O pesado legado dos autom\u00f3veis el\u00e9ctricos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

De acordo com um relat\u00f3rio do Banca Akros, o Stellantis prepara-se para encerrar o exerc\u00edcio de 2025 com cerca de 8,6 mil milh\u00f5es de euros de encargos excepcionais relacionados com os ve\u00edculos el\u00e9ctricos. Isto deve-se ao cancelamento ou revis\u00e3o de numerosos programas de ve\u00edculos el\u00e9ctricos, num contexto de abrandamento da procura e de mudan\u00e7as nas regras do jogo nos Estados Unidos sob a administra\u00e7\u00e3o Trump. O grupo dever\u00e1 apresentar os seus resultados a 26 de fevereiro e os analistas estimam que, dos 8,6 mil milh\u00f5es de euros, cerca de 2,6 mil milh\u00f5es de euros ter\u00e3o um impacto direto no fluxo de caixa. O restante, cerca de 6 mil milh\u00f5es de euros, corresponderia a despesas ditas \"n\u00e3o monet\u00e1rias\", em linha com o que a administra\u00e7\u00e3o j\u00e1 tinha sugerido ao apresentar as suas contas do terceiro trimestre de 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Um projeto de lei compar\u00e1vel ao dos gigantes americanos<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Para chegar a esta estimativa, Akros estabeleceu um paralelo com os grandes construtores autom\u00f3veis americanos. A General Motors anunciou recentemente 7,6 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares em encargos relacionados com a eletricidade, o que equivale a cerca de 4,1 % das suas receitas. A Ford, por seu lado, prev\u00ea uma amortiza\u00e7\u00e3o de 12,5 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares s\u00f3 em 2025 e de 19,5 mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares no per\u00edodo 2025-2027. Aplicando uma m\u00e9dia de 5,6 % \u00e0s receitas previstas da Stellantis em 2025, Akros chega logicamente ao valor de 8,6 mil milh\u00f5es de euros de amortiza\u00e7\u00f5es ligadas aos ve\u00edculos el\u00e9ctricos. Uma fatura pesada, mas coerente com o que est\u00e1 a acontecer do outro lado do Atl\u00e2ntico.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Segunda parte tensa, mas sem surpresas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

No entanto, o primeiro semestre do ano n\u00e3o foi neutro. No primeiro semestre de 2025, o grupo presidido por John Elkann j\u00e1 tinha contabilizado cerca de 2,1 mil milh\u00f5es de euros em redu\u00e7\u00f5es de valor. Isto significa que o segundo semestre do ano poder\u00e1 concentrar a maior parte do choque, com cerca de 6,5 mil milh\u00f5es de euros adicionais, incluindo 1,3 mil milh\u00f5es em dinheiro, afectando diretamente a gera\u00e7\u00e3o de caixa. Como consequ\u00eancia direta, a Akros reduziu a sua previs\u00e3o de fluxo de caixa livre operacional para 2025, que dever\u00e1 agora ser de -5,5 mil milh\u00f5es de euros, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com -4,2 mil milh\u00f5es anteriormente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apesar deste contexto dif\u00edcil, as linhas gerais dos resultados permanecem amplamente em linha com as expectativas do mercado. Para 2025, a Akros prev\u00ea vendas de 153,8 mil milh\u00f5es de euros, menos 2 %, um EBIT ajustado de 2,9 mil milh\u00f5es de euros e uma margem operacional inferior a 1,9 %. O lucro ajustado por a\u00e7\u00e3o cairia para 0,74 euros, muito longe dos 2,49 euros registados em 2024. A curto prazo, o sector el\u00e9trico pesa muito nas contas. Mas esta \"purga\" pode tamb\u00e9m ter um efeito virtuoso.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O desafio dos motores de combust\u00e3o interna a partir de 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Segundo o Banca Akros, o saneamento dos programas el\u00e9ctricos poderia permitir \u00e0 Stellantis recome\u00e7ar a partir de uma base mais saud\u00e1vel j\u00e1 em 2026. O banco prev\u00ea uma melhoria do mix de produtos e dos volumes a partir do primeiro trimestre, impulsionada pelo regresso de modelos a gasolina altamente rent\u00e1veis, como a vers\u00e3o de combust\u00e3o interna do Dodge Charger, o Jeep Compass e as pick-ups Ram equipadas com o motor Hemi V8. Esta abordagem pode parecer contr\u00e1ria \u00e0 ret\u00f3rica dominante sobre a eletrifica\u00e7\u00e3o, mas responde a uma realidade de mercado cada vez mais evidente, nomeadamente na Am\u00e9rica do Norte.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apesar do fato de que o final de 2025 parece ser um ano complexo, Banca Akros est\u00e1 mantendo sua recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o de compra no Stellantis, com seu pre\u00e7o-alvo inalterado em \u20ac 12. Ao pre\u00e7o de fecho de 8,67 euros em 13 de janeiro, o potencial de subida seria de cerca de 38 %. Para os investidores, a mensagem \u00e9 clara: 2025 ser\u00e1 doloroso, mas poder\u00e1 tamb\u00e9m marcar o in\u00edcio de um Stellantis mais pragm\u00e1tico, mesmo que isso signifique abrandar temporariamente as suas ambi\u00e7\u00f5es el\u00e9ctricas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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